Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 518.281927 551.046132 585.085255 623.148599 664.595671 708.438050 758.423393
2026-01-18 473.443267 518.282586 566.727503 623.167609 687.379937 758.471737 843.562309
2026-01-25 446.693912 499.381579 557.947932 628.280183 710.984082 805.811424 923.725859
2026-02-01 426.854495 485.396763 551.998535 634.012193 733.163131 850.294137 1000.847260
2026-02-08 411.336201 474.647828 548.135289 640.636007 755.245593 894.317993 1078.556481
2026-02-15 395.320726 461.929917 540.593478 641.519794 769.301470 928.106535 1144.309617
2026-02-22 381.136679 450.382882 533.440521 641.865924 781.884828 959.787335 1208.268726
2026-03-01 369.865798 441.646759 529.001289 644.909044 797.428393 995.366044 1278.787836
2026-03-08 357.824576 431.252720 521.775763 643.661946 806.805678 1022.685567 1339.003421
2026-03-15 347.738270 422.785024 516.444782 644.331083 818.334933 1052.967441 1404.622663
2026-03-22 338.064233 414.366225 510.681565 643.922948 828.029962 1080.766519 1467.856577
2026-03-29 329.223618 406.618622 505.368108 643.682549 837.639448 1108.531717 1532.288700
2026-04-05 322.372690 401.215247 502.904616 647.138011 852.460628 1144.359849 1611.111941
2026-04-12 314.679462 394.377900 498.190298 647.144093 862.156255 1172.926960 1680.232541
2026-04-19 309.479391 390.642541 497.441403 652.521266 879.643098 1213.665173 1771.011906
2026-04-26 304.841532 387.461094 497.253569 658.551253 898.169324 1256.686764 1868.190219
2026-05-03 300.806299 384.923909 497.791002 665.520584 918.235874 1302.904311 1973.717055
2026-05-10 294.968404 379.692440 494.340095 666.450566 929.036482 1334.921595 2057.051074
2026-05-17 289.261494 374.448339 490.657509 666.814795 938.841808 1365.643839 2140.039506
2026-05-24 284.755201 370.727918 488.977612 670.017176 953.078831 1404.112637 2239.442472
2026-05-31 279.069185 365.166546 484.454067 668.704779 960.009679 1430.691432 2318.837986
2026-06-07 274.266814 360.713366 481.368600 669.408947 970.092068 1462.915082 2410.970320
2026-06-14 269.349257 355.951026 477.666298 668.979444 978.221408 1492.074367 2499.260729